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Please enter a valid web address * About * Blog * Projects * Help * Donate * Contact * Jobs * Volunteer * People * Sign up for free * Log in Search metadata Search text contents Search TV news captions Search radio transcripts Search archived web sites Advanced Search * About * Blog * Projects * Help * Donate Donate icon An illustration of a heart shape * Contact * Jobs * Volunteer * People Full text of "Getting back to business : sixth report of the Standing Committee on Industry, Science and Technology " See other formats CLOUT Government A | 4 Pubticattore a ; HOUSE OF COMMONS CANADA 3 1761 11970859 2 Getting Back to Business sixth Report of the Standing Committee on Industry, Science and Technology Susan Whelan, M.P Chair November 2001 The Speaker of the House hereby grants permission to reproduce this document, in whole or in part for use in schools and for other purposes such as private study, research, criticism, review or newspaper summary. Any commercial or other use or reproduction of this publication requires the express prior written authorization of the Speaker of the House of Commons. If this document contains excerpts or the full text of briefs presented to the Committee, permission to reproduce these briefs, in whole or in part, must be obtained from their authors. Also available on the Parliamentary Internet Parlementaire: http://www.parl.gc.ca Available from Public Works and Government Services Canada — Publishing, Ottawa, Canada K1A 0S9 GETTING BACK TO BUSINESS Sixth Report of the Standing Committee on Industry, Science and Technology Susan Whelan, MP. Chair November 2001 VO ddr mr OO ++ Le CRE ia el hope ee Lab et ae 7 Aiea, ree ve FG 76 Gt ir radar favédtte ares Palin Mébharens Ras, i MR et Der" k ; aah sal 4 re — a = .) eae na ? . 7 7 STANDING COMMITTEE ON INDUSTRY, SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CHAIR Susan Whelan, M.P. (Essex, Ontario) VICE-CHAIRS Walt Lastewka, M.P. (St-Catharines, Ontario) Charlie Penson , M.P. (Peace River, Alberta) MEMBERS Larry Bagnell, M.P. (Yukon, Yukon) Stéphane Bergeron, M.P. (Verchères-Les-Patriotes, Québec) Bev Desjarlais, M.P. (Churchill, Manitoba) Claude Drouin, M.P. (Beauce, Québec) Jocelyne Girard-Bujold, M.P. (Jonquiére, Québec) Preston Manning, M.P. (Calgary Southwest, Alberta) Dan McTeague, M.P. (Pickering—Ajax— Uxbridge, Ontario) James Rajotte, M.P. (Edmonton Southwest, Alberta) Andy Savoy, M.P. (Tobique—Mactaquac, New-Brunswick) Brent St. Denis, M.P. Algoma—Manitoulin, Ontario) ( Chuck Strahl, M.P. ( Paddy Torsney, M.P. (Burlington, Ontario) (Eglinton—Lawrence, Ontario) Fraser Valley, Bristish Columbia) Joseph Volpe, M.P. CLERK OF THE COMMITTEE Normand Radford FROM THE RESEARCH BRANCH OF THE LIBRARY OF PARLIAMENT Dan Shaw, Researcher Lalita Acharya, Researcher James McQueen, Researcher Digitized by the Internet Archive in 2023 with funding from University of Toronto https://archive.org/details/31/61119708592 THE STANDING COMMITTEE ON INDUSTRY, SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY has the honour to present its SIXTH REPORT Pursuant to Standing Order 108(2), the Standing Committee on Industry, Science and Technology proceeded to a study on the consideration of the economic impact on Canada of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. After hearing evidence, the Committee has agreed to report to the House as follows: TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAIR'S FOREWORD :.:2%:.. 10 pet aies Ana of Der tomeriel ais 1 LIST: OF RECOMMENDATIONS tizis. entente. ROR NAN. OGL puisses S INTRODUCTION sem rame 20 ae deen. Ad tien Wee rere ieee Slee einen en eee 5 CHAPTER 1: THE INITIAL ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF THE SEPTEMBER 11 TERRORIST ATTACKS 5 oo cote eee, cen, 9 Gross Domestic’ Product 7). ees" 5 = mana eee anne eee ee ree 9 Stock Markets... OM OME A Senna eee ORES. SEE TA 10 Employment... ect eee eae 11 Conslimeranddnveston@onfidencetties ciraete 21 preeneaie. aoernnte eye cme 1% Airline and Aerospace... fi. SEMI See, eye SENTE a ECS 19 TOURS use specs «oes pe aan ae 14 Manufacturing ss. noce fees. ge. Cates erate TR fen ieee eee rece 14 Retailing 2:9: nhs 209. DONS GRRE, Mp ites tee ON eee 15 CHAPTER 2: NATIONAL SECURITY AND ECONOMIC SECURITY AT THE BORDER"... tee een eter eer nate ee ee 17 Border Realities:. 1: 2088. 2603. RL RO Re A CE A oh 17 Border Delays: Cause "and ETC ere tes acne e me aree nee 18 Canada-U.S' Cooperation: rureseecceecne tec pncce eae eee) eee ee 21 Border Crossing: |nfrastructurezand Access ee er ee 22 Customs and Security Resources and Procedures"”. "2 RS 23 Security and Safety of Canada SE CCOSUPONER ere ets eee eee eee 27 CHAPTER 3: THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT’S IMMEDIATE RESPONSE .............. 31 Federal.Government's RESORT rc ae 32 Airline and Airport Measures and Government Compensation... 33 Canada’s Anti-terrorist Plains. 52e 0 ROM OR Pen See nn 36 Monetary Policy.) PSP eect sce eee tee ee oer O7 Federal. Budget Statement ei eee aca 39 CHAPTER 4: BUDGET PLANNING: SPENDING PRIORITIES, TAXATION; ‘AND'FISCAL BALANCE RER en 41 Economic Context of the December200#Budget trs aah terion 41 Spending Priorities and Taxation int. 2. Serena mener MORE SON. 2 42 Vil FiscahPblieyand'Debt:Managément:.:....7 Re Re Re 44 Economic Stabilizationrand Frscal Poe eter teemete totem nrneseete: 48 CHAPTER 5: THE INNOVATION AGENDA... sssssssssssass 51 The Government of Canada’s Innovation Agenda... érsiteemeremesses 51 Realizing the Innovation AG@Nda ...cccccsccossssessseseeseeccdteeeteneee Mek Dien nec 0 52 Costs of the Components of the Innovation Agenda …........................................... 58 Impact of the Events of SEDIEMDET TE a Te 59 CONCLUSION: 52 amet etter ee en cae ge ete iif APPENDIX A: LIST OF WITNESSES AND BRIEFS …............................................. 59 REQUEST FOR GOVERNMENT RESPONSE .…....................................................... 63 DISSENTING! OPINIONS fice. o.c0. A csucsveccteeies cates re PP 65 MINUTES.OF PROCEEDINGS issue nadia RO 77 viii CHAIR’S FOREWORD | On September 11, 2001, the world witnessed a series of horrific terrorist attacks directed at targets in the United States of America. On that day, four jetliners were commandeered by Muslim extremists for suicide missions; two planes targeted the World Trade Center in New York and another plane targeted the Pentagon in Washington, D.C. An attack against another target (possibly the White House) was thwarted by passengers on the fourth plane; that plane crashed in a field southeast of Pittsburgh. Some evidence Suggests that there were likely more acts of terrorism planned but aborted by the immediate grounding, or diversion to Canada, of all civilian aircraft in U.S. airspace on that day. Although a final or official tally of the loss of human life has not yet been made, it is known that approximately 4,000 people, including 24 Canadians, perished in these barbaric acts. The terrorists aimed their hostilities directly at American symbols or centres of commerce, military power and democratic office; however, it is more accurate to conclude that it was the freedom of the democratic world that was under assault on that day. Indeed, by no other means have so many innocent lives of peoples of different countries, nationalities and faiths ever been lost in a single day, and never have so many families and friends from across the globe been forever touched by terrorism. Although the economic losses suffered cannot compare to the magnitude of human losses, the House of Commons Standing Committee on Industry, Science and Technology nevertheless feels that it is important to turn to the task of measuring the economic impact on Canada of the September 11 events and ensuing bioterrorism attacks. Recognizing that the Government of Canada has begun to take immediate remedial action, the Committee’s work is intended to assist the federal government in devising a coherent long-term plan for arresting the adverse economic shock set in motion by these acts of violence and for responding effectively to the new security threat. More specifically, the Committee’s mission is to anticipate the many, but not necessarily obvious, economic consequences of terrorism and to counsel governments, regulators and their agencies on how to effectively respond to the post-September 11 security-conscious environment in a way that minimizes any further adverse impacts on the Canadian economy. With these objectives in mind, the Committee organized several intensive meetings with many of Canada’s business leaders, representatives from industry umbrella associations — the ones most directly affected by the economic shock that followed the tragedy — and representatives from the United States. Their messages were clear and forthright; interestingly, a general consensus was reached on the need for increased military and anti-terrorist spending by the federal government that is financed by reduced and deferred spending on lower priority items. Such a plan, it is believed, would ensure that the Government of Canada does not fall back into deficit, thus restoring consumer and investor confidence for a general economic recovery in early 2002. At the same time, the message from the business community was clear that the adoption of new security measures must not impede the flow of goods and people across the Canada-U.S. border. | would like to thank those who participated in our hearings process and who shared their insights with us. | am confident that the public will agree that this report reflects both its concerns and common Canadian values and priorities in the post-September 11 security-conscious environment. Finally, the Committee would like to dedicate this work to the memory of those who lost their lives at the World Trade Center, the Pentagon and in a field outside Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, on September 11, 2001. LIST OF RECOMMENDATIONS nn UN AS ee ER ES Te 6 1. That the Government of Canada establish a high-level bilateral ministerial summit between Canada and the United States on border issues, spanning security, trade facilitation and immigration concerns, with the objective of developing a comprehensive and coordinated long-term management plan for Canada-U.S. border crossings. 2. That the Government of Canada include, in its upcoming budget Statement, plans with the United States regarding security, for example, the coordination of immigration and customs policies, procedures and information sharing, as well as the expected costs of such initiatives. 3. That the Government of Canada develop and fund an infrastructure program to improve the highways linking Canada’s existing border crossings as well as modern off-site inspection areas and access roads, and that these facilities and crossing points be equipped with enhanced security technologies. 4. That the Government of Canada immediately implement, using the best available technology, a comprehensive paperless pre-approval system for all “just-in-time” commercial shipments. 5. That the Government of Canada, as part of its discussions and negotiations with the United States, include the proposal to conduct Canadian customs inspections in the United States and U.S. inspections in Canada (“reversal of inspections”). 6. That the Government of Canada expedite discussions and negotiations with the United States to reactivate modern customs and immigration procedures, such as NEXUS, CANPASS and other pre-approval programs, which may include biometric technologies and the creation of shared-information systems. 7. That the Government of Canada’s upcoming budget provide for an increase in customs and immigration personnel. 8. That the Government of Canada ensure that the Canadian Food Inspection Agency, and other stakeholders responsible for ensuring the safety and security of the food supply, receive adequate resources to carry out their work. Resources should be directed at all levels of the supply chain from production through 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. inspection and delivery of food. The expenditure associated with these resources should not be subject to cost recovery. That the Government of Canada carefully examine the viability of Canada’s air transport industry. That the Minister of Finance, in his next budget statement, confirm national security and border trade as the Government of Canada’s number one priority at this time and back this commitment with needed expenditure initiatives. That the Minister of Finance, in his next budget statement, confirm the Government of Canada’s commitment to the five-year tax reduction program it set out in Budget 2000. That the Government of Canada continue a fiscal strategy of developing a two-year rolling plan, backed by a contingency reserve, using conservative economic assumptions to deliver a federal budget that does not contemplate a return to a deficit. That the Government of Canada continue the practice of retiring its debt by an amount that is not less than the funds available in the contingency reserve at the end of each fiscal year. That the Government of Canada impose spending limits and, if necessary, cutback on low-priority spending in the budget plan should economic fundamentals weaken beyond expectations, or should additional external shocks require greater-than-anticipated national security spending, and begin to threaten the desired fiscal balance. That the Government of Canada work with the private sector and community leaders to provide broadband services to areas of the country that do not currently have broadband access on a region-by-region basis. Regions to be connected first should be those areas in which it is unlikely that the private sector, on its own, will provide broadband services. In this manner, northern and rural areas will not be disadvantaged any further. That the Government of Canada consider increasing appropriations to certain government departments, agencies and programs (the Industrial Research Assistance Program, the Technology Partnerships Canada program, the National Research Council of Canada and the Canadian Space Agency), as described in the Committee’s fifth report. In the aftermath of the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, on the United States, indirect economic shocks to many business networks, airline companies and airport infrastructure, travel agencies and tourist centres have rippled from so-called “Ground Zero” in the heart of New York City’s financial district to the rest of the continental United States. These shocks have also migrated northward and across the border to Canada, eastward and across the Atlantic Ocean to Europe, and have now made it to the farthest reaches of the Asia-Pacific region. Although each ripple has dissipated as it extends further across the globe from its origin, it will be the policy response to security concerns of each nation, and their international institutions, that will ultimately determine the perennial economic impacts of international terrorism in the years to come. Moreover, the economic consequences of these policy responses will likely be shared more equally across the world than the economic impacts directly associated with the carnage of September 11 that disproportionately fell upon the United States. This fact will be particularly true of Canada, which, with the U.S., partakes in the largest and most commercially successful cross-border trade in the world. Indeed, Canada-U.S. border issues need immediate attention and satisfactory resolution. This report is intended to assist the federal government in devising a coherent long-term plan for arresting the adverse economic shocks set in motion by these desperate acts of violence and for responding effectively to the new security threat. More specifically, the Committee offers counsel to governments, regulators and their agencies on how to effectively respond to the post-September 11 security-conscious environment in a way that minimizes any further adverse impacts on the Canadian economy, in general, and on Canadian industry, in particular. INTRODUCTION Canada’s number one trading partner in the United Sates is Michigan. Forty-three percent of all U.S.-Canada trade passes through the Michigan-Ontario corridor. We also have the busiest border crossings for both commercial and passenger vehicles. But the problems at our border extend well beyond the border communities, reaching into the heartland of our two nations. Thirty-eight U.S. states, in addition to Puerto Rico, have Canada as their primary trading partner, and half of U.S. exports to Canada are produced in 14 states. [Daniel J. Cherrin, Detroit Regional Chamber of Commerce, 47:12:15] Since September 11, which was a tragic day for humanity, the U.S. has been almost totally focused on security, while in Canada our preoccupation has been very much on trade as well. Theirs, because security is threatened; we, because of our dependence on them in trade, our trade is threatened. [Bill Rowat, Railway Association of Canada, 47:9:25] In Chapter 1, the Committee examines estimates of the direct and indirect economic impacts on Canada of the September 11 terrorist attacks, as presented to the Committee by selected experts and to the public through the media by economists and economic forecasting institutions. These estimates or impact assessments are preliminary at best, but nevertheless it is clear from the data that the destruction of the twin towers of the World Trade Center was significant in terms of New York City’s capital stock, both physical and human, but was a very small percentage of the capital stock of the U.S. as a whole. At the country level, the greatest economic impact was felt, not on the supply-side of the economy, but on the demand-side, as consumer and investor confidence, both in the U.S. and Canada, plummeted, thereby exacerbating an already faltering North American economy. The economic downturn that began before September 11 thus became more pronounced and will be more protracted than had been originally forecast. In Chapter 2, the Committee lays out the current predicament of the Canada-U.S. border. With the relative shift in traffic of commercial cargo, and business and leisure travellers from the east-west axis to the north-south axis of the continent in the wake of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (FTA), insufficient capital investment in border infrastructure and customs processing equipment has been identified as the primary source of traffic delays at Canada’s more important border crossings. This situation predates the September 11 terrorist attacks. Although such delays were grudgingly tolerated before September 11, they have since soared to intolerable levels at a number of border crossings with the new more intensive inspections undertaken by Canadian and American officials. Despite much lower leisure traveller traffic levels and the presence of the U.S. National Guard at the border, the adoption of more security-conscious customs and immigration procedures are producing bottlenecks in commercial traffic. “Just-in-time” manufacturing and delivery systems are being devastated, and the compensating — but very costly — inventory build-ups are eating away at the razor-thin profit margins of integrated North American companies, such as those of the automobile sector. The Committee recommends a new approach and several targeted strategies for providing national security, which will relieve pressure at the border. Congestion will also be reduced with robust investment initiatives in state-of-the-art customs processing equipment, highway access to the border, and border infrastructure. This chapter also addresses the impact of the events of September 11 on the safety and security of Canada’s food supply. Chapter 3 addresses the immediate response of the Government of Canada and its agencies to the events of September 11. These reactions include the stepped-up anti-terrorist intelligence-gathering efforts of the Canada Security Intelligence Service (CSIS); the introduction of Bill C-36, An Act to amend the Criminal Code, the Official Secrets Act, the Canada Evidence Act, the Proceeds of Crime (Money Laundering) Act and other Acts, and to enact measures respecting the registration of charities in order to combat terrorism; procedural changes at the border instituted by the Canada Customs and Revenue Agency (CCRA); a government offer of a $160 million compensation package to the Canadian airline industry; the Bank of Canada’s interest rate reduction on overnight chartered bank deposits at the central bank, given the pivotal role it plays in influencing short-term interest rates on chartered bank loans to Canadians and Canadian businesses and thereby stimulating aggregate demand; and, finally, the Minister of Finance’s decision to table the federal budget in December 2001 rather than the customary February period to immediately shore up and restore consumer and investor confidence in Canada. In the aftermath of the September 11 terrorist attacks and what appears to be a weak North American economy, new budget priorities are the order of the day. In Chapter 4, the Committee provides the government with advice on what should be its priority spending and taxation initiatives, favouring increased national security spending and the adoption of a new “innovation agenda” while remaining committed to the five-year planned tax cuts set out in the budget of 2000. The Committee’s approach, which embodies conservative economic assumptions and a built-in contingency fund, is compatible with the prevailing fiscal balance and debt management course, as well as economic stabilization through lower interest rates under an easing of monetary policy. The shift in the federal government's short-term priorities following the events of September 11 may have an impact on spending in other government programs. In Chapter 5, the Committee addresses the potential impact of the events of September 11 on the federal government's ambitious “innovation agenda,” a long-term program designed to help Canada become one of the most innovative economies in the world. The Committee has been heavily involved in providing advice to the government on how the transition to an innovation and knowledge-based economy can best be achieved. In this chapter, the Committee encourages the government to preserve the long-term objectives of its innovation agenda, but to closely examine the priorities and timing of delivery of individual components given the new fiscal reality. Finally, the Committee reassesses the immediate economic responses to the terrorist shock, puts into context Canada’s present situation, and concludes by giving direction to the government for arresting the terrorist threat without shackling Canadian industry. ¥ i BP hoes à “su Wi in Pity ' ki ; “olativiiibe. 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Moto S)und shoe nolteanal. ghd senna HER) (208) Meany ett nevi zines EN lsubiiba) tajaeiah Ip.oniet - araiurh ofl manging of arty abenogest cimoricos ‘sisibemnl, ot aeseseemet _ccrtemmeor ante yas The prie ah cot jms bte nelsule nsesiqs'eharso Potro ets sn ore tant MERE NAME he TOMI, TROY elma sn oniteone AN ntm eMef CETTE USM prose ère, THe CAPES sy and 2 = 5 ) As a ee - od of Canacs 0 - “ A tig a 4 D | my renonce: x : | ae imme Conte, there 2 - - Snaps Card ’ D ar : | A | Ly 4 - ‘ 7 . : = + 4076 Ol ihe events. of 7 “ J | [es te à (be anicuturel HER : Par wo 7 oun | CARRE er Mere ffigf a ns a > ace aa ste ERA TE ee drone, ‘+ VO dis ADO LS tee eine se en ; : à CHAPTER 3: THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT’S IMMEDIATE RESPONSE The tragic events of September 11 are unique and unprecedented. The economic forecasting community cannot recall of a comparable event that would serve as a good guide for projecting the severity and the duration of the economic stimulus set in motion on that day. This is precisely why caution must be observed when evaluating the first chapter's economic forecast. For the same reason, the appropriate policy responses by the private sector and governments are equally uncertain in such situations. The impacts of natural disasters, such as that of South Florida’s Hurricane Andrew in 1992, resemble a terrorist attack because they too involve the localized destruction of a country’s physical capital stock. The major differences between the two events being that a hurricane, as a natural phenomenon, does not usually entail the loss of consumer and investor confidence and could at least be partially foreseen so that some preparations could be taken. Criminal acts with a political or social dimension, like the assassinations of the Kennedy brothers and Martin Luther King Jr., are man-made disasters that usually precipitate losses in consumer and investor confidence and, as such, are also a close cousin of a terrorist attack. Both these events share the characteristic that their planning and implementation were well concealed from the policing authorities and the public, and their consequences could not adequately be mitigated pre-emptively. The major difference between these two events, of course, is that an assassination does not entail a loss in the nation’s productive capacity or physical capital stock. After-the-fact responses have been the primary means of dealing with crises brought on by terrorism and they can be divided into two types: immediate reactions, some of which are emergency responses with some element of prior planning; and long-term 31 ! would suggest ... that Canadian enterprises have been affected on three distinct levels, each of which demands different business and public policy responses. First, there are the one-time shock effects of the terrorist attacks ... Second, there are temporary, cyclical effects of the economic downturn ... Third, there are persistent structural issues of Canadian competitiveness; problems that could be glossed over in better times but are now being brought to a head. Travel-related industries were the hardest hit by the shock effects ... Governments moved quickly to offer airlines compensation for direct event-related losses and to provide back-up insurance for airports. ... The impact of lower interest rates is not immediate, but it is pervasive and it is powerful. Monetary policy ... remains the best way of easing the cyclical problems facing Canadian companies and consumers alike. ... Fiscal policy ... is not the best means of combating the temporary effects of the economic cycle, but it will have a profound impact on Canada’s ability to deal with the structural challenges facing Canadian companies in a wide range of industries. [Thomas d’Aquino, Business Council on National Issues, 47:10:40] planned policy measures that are meant to correct the situation so that there is no recurrence of such events. This chapter deals with the former, but is limited to the economic responses that have been mostly directed at providing compensation or restoring consumer and investor confidence. The following chapters are left to assess the longer term responses, which will be directed at stopping terrorist activities in the least intrusive way to commerce and trade, as well as to human rights and freedoms. Federal Government’s Response The federal government responded immediately to the September 11 terrorist attacks in a number of ways; responses of various kinds continue. In his appearance before the Committee, Canada’s Industry Minister mentioned a number of actions or steps that will lead to action, including financial compensation, taken so far by his Cabinet colleagues. Here is a non-exhaustive list: The important tax reductions announced [in October 2000] by my colleague, the Honourable Paul Martin, along with other fiscal and adjustment measures announced after September 11, such as infrastructure announcements and the $160 million assistance package to the airline industry, will play an important role in the medium-term economic recovery. There has also been a 90-day fixed backstop insurance for airlines and airports and of course, a few days ago, a further $75 million loan guarantee to Canada 2000 0.2 In addition, since September 11 the Bank of Canada has lowered its key policy interest rates by 125 bases points for a total reduction of 300 basis points since the beginning of the year. This brings interest rates to their lowest level since 1961 — 40 years. These cuts are intended to stimulate the economy by boosting consumer and business confidence. ... Since September 11 the government has announced new anti-terrorism measures totalling $290 million, which brings our total new investment in policing and security and intelligence to $1.8 billion since the 2000 budget. ... In addition, the CCRA is to expedite the sharing of information with the United States Customs Service and, of course, the Prime Minister has created the Cabinet ad hoc committee on security. [The Honourable Brian Tobin, Minister of Industry, 44:8:40] Other government decisions taken include: Frain additional $20 million through the Canadian Tourism Commission to kick-start travel of Canadians, and of Americans from bordering states, within Canada; and However, Canada 3000 has since filed for bankruptcy. 32 the Business Development Bank of Canada has been instructed to provide qualifying customers the option of postponing principal repayment for up to four fous particularly those engaged in tourism, transportation, wholesale and exports. The government further acknowledges that other industries will be seeking compensation as a result of the closure of Canadian airspace in response to the events of September 11, including Air Canada which has further requested loan guarantees on its outstanding debt that it believes is no longer financially sustainable. So it has become quite clear to the Committee that the immediate responses of the federal government might end up costing the federal treasury almost $500 million, not including the lost tax revenues resulting from a more depressed economic activity over the next fiscal year than what would have been the case without the terrorist attacks. Airline and Airport Measures and Government Compensation When it became clear what was happening on September 11, Canadian airspace was immediately closed to all but military, police and humanitarian flights. In the following days, the Government of Canada gradually permitted the resumption of domestic, trans-border and international flights, but normal service was delayed even as late as Friday, September 14, as airline companies worked to reposition their aircraft, stranded passengers and staff. Full airline service eventually came back on-line, but air traffic plummeted and has remained at below-normai levels ever since. Box 3.1 provides a chronology of decisions made by Canada’s Transport Minister for the month of September. Industry representatives claim that government compensation for the closed airspace is justified on the basis that their costs cannot be avoided as fast or as easily as their aircraft can be grounded: [W]e are an industry which is faced with very high fixed costs. Our aircraft is the single biggest fixed cost. Our supplier relationships and our union agreements build in a lot of costs that are extremely difficult to manage in short-term cyclical situations. The general rule of thumb in the industry is: when you try to save costs, what you do is you park airplanes. You take capacity out of the system. ... But for every 20% of capacity you take out of the system, you really only save 10% because you have a huge ongoing cost ... regardless of whether you fly ... or park the airplanes ... [Cliff Mackay, Air Transport Association of Canada, 47:9:15] 33 Box 3.1 Closure of Canadian Airspace: Sequence of Events The following is a chronology of events and major related announcements following the closure of airspace on September 11, 2001, in response to the terrorist attacks in the United States: Tuesday, September 11 Immediately following the tragic events in the United States, Transport Minister David Collenette declared that no commercial or private aircraft were allowed to depart Canadian airports until further notice. The only exceptions were military, police and humanitarian flights. The Canadian aviation system immediately began preparations to accept flights previously destined for the United States that could no longer land in that country. At the time of the terrorist incidents, approximately 500 aircraft were en route to North American airports. More than half these aircraft returned to their points of departure; the remaining 226 continued on to various destinations across Canada. Security measures were also immediately taken at airports across the country, including evacuation of some areas and deployment of police or security at key access points. Wednesday, September 12 Minister Collenette announced the lifting of restrictions on domestic air travel within Canadian airspace, and also announced that Canadian airports would operate under heightened security measures. Diverted flights were then released for travel to their original destinations (flights to the U.S. still required clearance from the Federal Aviation Administration). Heightened security measures announced included increased police presence at major airports, increased passenger screening and enhanced security procedures, including more hand searches of baggage. Thursday, September 13 Minister Collenette announced that restrictions on international, trans-border and private flights had been lifted. Passenger flights to the U.S. not previously released were also allowed to resume, although many airports in the United States remained closed to trans-border traffic. Friday, September 14 The Minister removed restrictions imposed on cargo flights — the last of the flight restrictions imposed in Canadian airspace on September 11, 2001. The Minister emphasized that the return to normal flight operations in Canada continued to be a gradual process. This was especially true for trans-border flights into the United States, where certain airports remained closed. Sunday, September 16 The last of the 226 flights diverted to Canadian airports was cleared to leave for its final destination. Monday, September 17 Minister Collenette announced that cockpit doors on all Canadian airline passenger flights, domestic and international, must be locked for the full duration of flights. Transport Canada is also working with the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration and other authorities to improve the security aspects of cockpit design, in particular cockpit doors. 34 Saturday, September 22 a Collenette announced that the Government of Canada would provide a 90-day indemnity for ird-party war and terrorism liabilities for essential aviation service operators in Canada to help ensure aviation services can be maintained uninterrupted. This action was taken in response to the decision by or insurers to no longer provide the required levels of war risk liability insurance previously in Tuesday, September 25 Minister Collenette announced that Transport Canada is purchasing a quantity of new, advanced explosives detection systems (EDS) for use at priority Canadian airports. These new systems will supplement explosives detection systems already in use at Canadian airports. Source: http://www.tc.gc.ca/releases/nat/01_h125e.htm ade Industry spokespersons further argued that government compensation to individual companies must take into account a number of factors such as: [T]he operators in Canada are not operating in a homogeneous market. Just to give you some examples, Air Transat is a leisure carrier. It operates strictly in the leisure market and most of its flights are charter, as opposed to scheduled. It’s a matter of public record that they are experiencing significant pressure, from a cash point of view. WestJet, on the other hand, a low-cost, no frills domestic carrier, with almost exclusively short-haul flights, is doing reasonably well in very difficult market circumstances. Its balance sheet is strong and it’s in a market niche which is not anywhere nearly as challenged as some of the other markets that other carriers are in. First Air is another example of an airline that is weathering the storm well. It is a regional carrier, primarily in the North, and has a good mix of cargo and passenger facilities, with a relatively low cost structure and is doing reasonably well. Air Canada, on the other hand, ... is facing very significant pressure on the demand side. Fifty per cent of [its] business was in trans-border and international and that market is not coming back. They have done major cuts and they are frankly having to be very aggressive to try to reduce their cash requirements. [Cliff Mackay, Air Transport Association of Canada, 47:9:25] Transport Canada arrived at $160 million in compensation after an examination of financial information provided by Canada’s largest carriers, supplemented by a sample survey conducted by the Air Transport Association of Canada. This work placed losses for the airline industry attributable to the closure of Canadian airspace at approximately $150 million. The government's program also incorporates the cost of administering the compensation and allows for the possibility of larger claims once a full accounting of losses is done. 35 In terms of Air Canada’s request for a government loan guarantee, the Committee agrees with the advice that the government should resist bailing out airline companies suffering from structural rather than September 11-created problems. There can be some targeted relief, perhaps, but [sJome people are hiding behind the smoke of September 11. There were problems going into September 11. If there are new demands on airlines perhaps on security measures and things, then yes but if in terms of bailouts, the answer is no. [Catherine Swift, Canadian Federation of Independent Business, 45:16:35] However, the Committee is unsure at this time whether the government's compensation offered to Air Canada, amounting to something more than $100 million, along with Minister of Transport’s two recent decisions that directly affect the company’s operations, is sufficient. These two decisions include the elimination of the capital restriction on individual share ownership in the company to no more than 10% of its outstanding stock and the freeing of the company from its job termination obligations following its takeover of Canadian Airlines International Inc. Structural and September 11-created problems are not so easily disentangled. Moreover, although the industry was mostly deregulated more than a decade ago (i.e., Canadian ownership restrictions still apply) and the government wants private-sector solutions to these financial problems, a government loan guarantee should not be dismissed out of hand. Indeed, it may be in the public’s long-term interest to provide such a short-term solution; it may be all that is required to ensure the viability of a Canadian-owned national airline company. The Committee, therefore, recommends: 9. That the Government of Canada carefully examine the viability of Canada’s air transport industry. In light of the losses incurred by travel agencies, as described in the previous chapter, industry representatives requested that the government establish a fund of $20 million to which individual agencies could apply for compensation, based on their volume of business during the same one-week period last year. This, they insist, would not be a handout or bailout: “This is compensation for our customers being removed from flights and put in places unknown, and then with us having to try to get them home” [Randall Williams, Association of Canadian Travel Agents, 46:15:55]. A decision by the Minister of Transport is still pending. Canada’s Anti-terrorist Plan The Government of Canada almost immediately after September 11 adopted its new Anti-terrorism Plan, which has four objectives: e Stop terrorists from getting into Canada and protect Canadians from terrorist acts; 36 Bring forward tools to identify, prosecute, convict and punish terrorists; Prevent the Canada-U.S. border from being held hostage by terrorists and adversely affecting the Canadian economy; and Work with the international community to bring terrorists to justice and address the root causes of such hatred. This plan was provided legislative support with the introduction of Bill C-36, An Act to amend the Criminal Code, the Official Secrets Act, the Canada Evidence Act, the Proceeds of Crime (Money Laundering) Act and other Acts, and to enact measures respecting the registration of charities in order to combat terrorism, to the House of ni The Government of Canada then announced new initiatives that would provide: °__$10 million in new RCMP funding to increase airport security; e $45 million in new funding to enhance integrated policing activities, improve technology, increase protection services and enhance information sharing with other government departments, as well as international and domestic law enforcement agencies; and e $9 million to be allocated annually for increased staffing in priority areas. Together, these new funding initiatives will better equip security agencies to identify and track down any terrorists already in Canada and to keep terrorists from entering the country. Monetary Policy Chapter 1 describes two important economic impacts of the terrorist attacks: the destruction or loss of capital stock, both physical and human; and the loss of consumer and investor confidence arising from uncertainty about future terrorist and military events. In economic terms, the former impact is best characterized as posing a supply-side problem, while the latter is a demand-side problem. The destruction of capital stock, like Hurricane Andrew of 1992 or the OPEC oil crisis of 1973, exerts upward pressure on prices, but a loss in consumer confidence exerts the opposite influence on prices. Because the latter impact is far more significant than the former in this case, rising inflation is not a cause for concern, at least in the short run. Both problems, however, unambiguously point to depressed economic activity, actually making the ongoing slowdown much deeper and prolonged than it would otherwise be. Times such as these dictate more financial liquidity through lower interest rates; a positive economic stimulus is clearly in order. The Bank of Canada immediately realized this situation and moved swiftly (by September 17), as did the U.S. Federal Reserve 37 Board (U.S. Fed), lowering its key Overnight Rate for chartered bank deposits by 1.5 percentage points to 3.5%.” As the Bank of Canada put it: The tragic acts of terrorism in the United States on 11 September may pose significant challenges to consumer and business confidence in the United States, Canada, and elsewhere. Accordingly, the Bank is taking this action today [lowering its target for the overnight rate by one-half of one percentage point to 3.5 per cent] to underpin confidence and provide further support for economic growth in Canada. The Bank’s decision to act outside of its normal schedule of announcement dates reflects the need for prompt action to counteract potential effects on confidence in the aftermath of the extraordinary events in the United States. [Bank of Canada, News Release, September 17, 2001] Both the U.S. Fed and the Bank of Canada continued this easing of monetary policy such that Canada’s Overnight Rate, as of November 1, stands at 2.75%, the lowest it has been in more than four decades. Small business representatives are hoping that the chartered banks will pass on these favourable credit conditions to small businesses and consumers: One of the things we are concerned about, post-September 11, is a tightening, a credit crunch. That's the worst thing that can happen at this time. We’re treating this, what happened, similarly to what happened with the ice storm. We’ve written the banks; we’ve written to Revenue Canada: lets not hurt cash flow, lets not squeeze at this particular time. If there is a cashflow issue or if communities are having hard times at the border, or if they're with trade and manufacturing and they’re late in some of their remittances, let's give them a break ... [Garth Whyte, Canadian Federation of Independent Business, 45:16:00] The Committee is confident that the Bank of Canada’s strategy of lowering lending rates will be successful in stimulating the economy and that we will see these lower interest rates passed on to consumers and small and large businesses. The Committee is concerned about the insensitivity of credit card interest rates to changes in the chartered banks’ prime rates. The Committee will study these matters in a more detailed fashion when it resumes its routine discussions with Canada’s chartered banks on small and medium-sized business lending and banking practices. The Committee, however, would caution people on the limits of monetary policy. In the ordinary conduct of monetary policy, timing is important. The lag between an interest rate cut and the positive economic stimulus it generates is usually thought to be six to nine months. So the actions taken by the Bank of Canada since September will not largely be felt until the second quarter of 2002 at the earliest. However, the Bank of Canada had been lowering interest rates, by as much as 2.5 percentage points, between 2 E ‘ The target for the Overnight Rate is the Bank of Canada’s key policy interest rate. It is the appropriate policy rate for international comparisons — for example, with the target for the federal funds rate in the United States and with the two-week repo rate in the United Kingdom. The target for the overnight rate is the midpoint of a 50-basis-point operating band. The Bank Rate is the upper limit of this band. 38 January and September 2001 in order to stimulate spending. The prospects for economic recovery Sometime in early 2002 are therefore good, assuming that consumers will again join the spending treadmill and investment opportunities of the business sector are Sufficiently sound to justify higher corporate debt loads. Federal Budget Statement The Minister of Finance has decided to table the federal budget in December 2001 rather than the customary February period to provide an immediate fiscal response to the tragedy of September 11, 2001. A second benefit of an early budget — probably its more important contribution in light of these tragic events — would be to immediately shore up and restore consumer and investor confidence in Canada. 39 en ie © ae | | =e athe ee ee arin pps gros iat HET NENR ais ged ae Ve ' Ja, CE LA ONE 04] ci % CAL Pr mee Ga ww => +: (tO at Sel DPR, ii = L | te 7 3 er di DR ts a vo CU 7 ; oe ie be Mere Lt HS oe P oa dae sone Ja l q 7 | | sé oe À, Aw as not +} ig Cele ¢ 1 ws dre à deta sa = « a ue (ur nest and LT bt: a4 fait Verts, À — ‘ | : al \ sg Tenaya tending M re bth 26 Git dhe Thage lower > yh esetes The Comanitiotely ‘ ae ériger the chatte ” Oo ax (0 id 1155009 ae ule fashion |: f ER "eG Cianhks. O1 wae and - 2 cs ian sa 4 PE ’ be y 48; ~eTAry polisy in’ | tet Ter fag Lotweon an MISrSete , | « ie ¥ va nia t jo BA SW to L | > im wh ptember will Vine | | feet, Powevet the Bank of LE grr Sage pris, Jutweëñ. | 7 - Ve ann epriang n i ‘ a te, des Fes fe 10 te Linie Stale : . ae inga« y i cote is ihe imidnoin? ole i © i) = | see {na nw maitre 1 sie Wey ed An * me Gérer 2 ieaoret Mean, an dE some § Perte { ay 9 ane hante wl p388.0 CHAPTER 4: BUDGET PLANNING: SPENDING PRIORITIES, TAXATION, AND FISCAL BALANCE Economic Context of the December 2001 Budget In the aftermath of the tragic events of September 11 and an economic retrenchment that threatens to become a recession, it is hard to believe that just one year ago, when the most recent federal budget was drawn up, the economy was moving at full throttle, with a strong engine and a forecast of nothing but open road ahead. At that time, virtually no one, including the Department of Finance, was predicting an economic downturn. Moreover, that a terrorist attack on the North American continent was imminent was also nowhere to be found on most policy-makers’ radar screen. Consider the Department of Finance’s May 17, 2001, Economic Update. It recognized the slowdown of the U.S. economy (but expected a so-called “soft landing’ scenario) that would have a restraining impact on the Canadian economy, but also noted “a number of encouraging developments which have helped to offset this weakness.” The Finance Minister then predicted $7.2 billion and $7.6 billion budget surpluses in fiscal years 2001-2002 and 2002-2003, respectively. The Finance Minister went on to assure the Canadian public that: The aforementioned numbers are derived from the average of the total range of private sector forecasts. Let me now use the average of the most pessimistic of the private sector forecasts. Even here — 1.8 per cent growth in 2001 and 2.9 per cent growth in 2002 — the net impact would result in an adjusted budgetary surplus of $6.2 billion this year and $5.1 billion next year. In other words, a despite the economic slowdown ... the $100 billion in tax cuts is protected. And we will not fall back into deficit. [Department of Finance Canada, Economic Update, May 17, 2001, p. 10] Clearly, the road to prosperity for Canada became both curved and bumpy. The strong economic fundamentals of a year ago have turned to 41 Clearly, in the wake of the events of September 11 every government in the world, certainly the Government of Canada, has had to pause and had to reflect upon its priorities in both the mid and long terms, but in particular in the short term. First and foremost, the needs of governments everywhere is to ensure security of our citizens, to ensure the security of our borders as well. [The Honourable Brian Tobin, Minister of Industry, 44:8:35] / would encourage the government to see as an urgent priority for taking concrete action is to establish consumer, investor and business confidence, as well as a secure and trade-efficient border. [Jayson Myers, Manufacturers and Exporters of Canada, 45:15:40] weakness, and a recession may be looming. Indeed, Economy.com forecasts a contraction in the Canadian economy of 0.2% (annualized) in the third quarter of 2001 (see Chapter 1) and should this also be the case in the fourth quarter, the Canadian economy will meet the modern-day technical definition of a recession: negative growth in the economy stretching two-quarters. So whether or not the revised forecasts of a weaker economy suggest a deficit, trade-offs in the upcoming budget will have to be made. The Committee now turns to these; rather than providing a detailed budget plan, we will instead make recommendations on the approach to be taken. Spending Priorities and Taxation If the slowing Canadian economy did not usher in a new economic context and, therefore, the need to set new budget priorities, the terrorist attacks of September 11 certainly did. On this score, virtual unanimity amongst Canada’s business leaders was obtained over what should be the Government of Canada’s number one priority at this time: national security. Such a shift in priorities now obliges the government to rearrange its budget accordingly. [T]he Canadian government must now reassess its own fiscal plan to ensure that the fundamental priorities of national and international security are met while continuing to encourage the growth of a healthy Canadian economy and society. [Elizabeth McDonald, Canadian Film and Television Production Association, 47:10:40] There is hidden wisdom in the suggestion that security and economic growth are complementary, where one objective enhances and reinforces the other. National security is a public good in the traditional sense of the word; it is one manifestation of social capital, which itself is an essential input into the economy. Indeed, increased security can translate into less uncertainty, making commerce and trade more profitable. The business community will readily admit that uncertainty is a condition that it actively seeks to avoid. As the past two months have clearly demonstrated, insecurity brought on by terrorism, real or perceived, can have an adverse impact on the economy through lost consumer and investor confidence; it can also send powerful economies, such as those of the United States and Canada, into a tailspin if left unchecked. Armed with this knowledge, a number of business leaders were adamant that the Government of Canada should push its new national security agenda forward. They even offered specific actions in pursuit of this objective. The first priority is that Canada must be inside a North American security perimeter against terrorism and this is for our benefit, not for anybody else’s. | want Canada to be the safest place to be in North America. There’s a side benefit to that, which is that other people in North America will also safe. Secondly, Canada needs better screening at our perimeter. Our screening must be the best. No one must be able to say that we're playing second fiddle to that. Everyone must be able to say the Canadian screening system is as good or better than anyone else’s and therefore 42 we can rely on the Canadian screenin S i stem. [Gerald F Manufacturers Association, 44:10:30] ie | mer me ne pita sa us the federal government's new Anti-terrorism Plan and its decision to AL i e selected QFOUDS arising from the September 11 terrorist attacks will be costly 0 tne treasury and will eat into the government’s current surplus, or lead to deficit if the economy is much worse than perceived. A deficit is certainly not out of the question anymore. Above all, we expect that these current essential spending measures will eat up most, if not all, of the current year surplus. In the absence of offsetting cuts and less essential spending, these needs may well push the government into deficit in the next fiscal year. The government may not be able to avoid the deficit for a year or lee ethie what it does. [Thomas d’Aquino, Business Council on National Issues, Despite national security and economic growth being complements in the longer term, these objectives may be substitutes, or at least be forced to compete with each other for funding, in the budget. Canada’s construction industry explained this in terms of obvious productivity-improving infrastructure investments: Often the first thing that goes when governments find their fiscal house somewhat restrained or pressured is capital investments in roads, highways, sewage treatment facilities, and water distribution systems. There are many reasons why this often happens, probably because those investments are investments that may not show a yield except for 20 or 25 years, and that’s a very long time. We are concerned that the events of September 11 are causing some governments in Canada to divert their attention away from what is a very ominous threatening problem in this country, and that’s our infrastructure deficit. [Michael Atkinson, Canadian Construction Association, 46:16:55] However, the short-term budgetary trade-off between national security and productivity-improving investments can be attenuated with sound financial planning, as was expressed by a number of business leaders. It continues to be the view of the Chamber that government spending priorities must include those areas that can have a direct bearing on our competitiveness as a nation. Resources put into security and building and maintaining critical infrastructure should continue to be a government focus. Evidence also suggests that successful investment in both physical capital, whether its machinery and equipment, and human capital, whether it's education and training, as well as basic research and development, are instrumental in raising productivity and overall economic growth. Our submission further details the Chamber's recommendation on how spending should be controlled by imposing an annual cap and by reallocating from lower priorities. [Michael N. Murphy, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, 45:15:25] 43 This opinion was echoed by others, one of whom coupled this advice with issues of reforming federal taxation and regulatory regimes with a view to improving Canadian industrial competitiveness: This is not a time for massive new spending programs. It is a time to reflect on how we can spend existing resources more effectively. It is a time to look for ways to reshape Canada’s tax structure to make our tax burden more competitive without reducing revenue and it’s also a time to focus on regulatory issues that can have a powerful impact on growth without the need for new spending. [Thomas d’Aquino, Business Council on National Issues, 47:10:40] Industry representatives, however, were steadfast in their support for the planned tax cuts scheduled over the next five years. Indeed, some suggest that there may be room for their widening and deepening across and within more sectors of the economy over the longer term. We also think the government should maintain its focus on achieving the $100-billion-tax-cut program that was in that October 2000 Economic Statement. We believe that those tax cuts should be extended to include the resource sectors. [Gordon Peeling, Mining Association of Canada, 45:17:05] And We also believe that it is important for the Canadian government to reduce the personal and corporate income tax burden in Canada, building on what has been done by the government over the past few years. This has to be part of a long-term strategy to retain both capital and human talent in Canada. We agree with others in the Canadian business community that the government fiscal course has to be one taken within a framework of fiscal prudence. [Chris Van Houtte, Aluminium Association of Canada, 46:16:45] For these reasons, the Committee recommends: 10. That the Minister of Finance, in his next budget statement, confirm national security and border trade as the Government of Canada’s number one priority at this time and back this commitment with needed expenditure initiatives. And 11. That the Minister of Finance, in his next budget statement, confirm the Government of Canada’s commitment to the five-year tax reduction program it set out in Budget 2000. Fiscal Policy and Debt Management Review of taxation issues and the government's spending priorities have become a ritual of winter in Canada. Over the past few years, every February (last year excepted), the Minister of Finance has set out the government's projected revenues and 44 expenditures — sometimes c This statement contains an o and also sets out fiscal poli alled fiscal projections — and the resulting surplus or deficit. verview of the government’s economic and fiscal projections, cy for the period ahead. Key to this planning process is that the government's adjustments in Spending and taxation priorities can be made in the light of longer term trends and, thus, a long-term perspective can have a bearing on tendencies to depart abruptly from the projected fiscal course. Figure 4.1 Federal Government Budgetary Balance and Financial Requirements/Surplus (Public Accounts Basis} 20 billions of dollars Financial requirements/surpius—___ ~ Surplus 0er een Budgetary balance SO qqs RL NS NERDS SERRE, D 1961 1966- 187t- 1976- 1881- 1986- 1991- 1996- 2001- 1962 1967 197? 1977 1982 1987 1992 1987 2072 Source: Finance Canada, The Budget Plan 2000, February 28, 2000, p. 46. l | tracted from last years budget The two charts provided in this section are ex statement. They are a graphic representation of the fiscal and debt management course of past and current governments. From Figure 4.1, we observe that, after periods of large deficits lasting through the 1970s, 1980s and early 1990s, the government has Ses to fiscal balance. This much-improved performance aye meng ae Nan sePriec - rolling plans backed by a conti nt’s fiscal strategy of using two-year rollin backe ; ee ie and in turn, provides much credibility to the Finance Minister's commitment that: turn to deficits. The benefits of nt is not prepared to risk a re a a sa public finances — sustained economic growth, more jobs ane Pb Moe: for Canadians — will not be put at risk. [Finance Canada, The Budget Plan 2000, February 28, 2000, p. 45] This chosen fiscal course is not simply the current government’s preference; it enjoys wide support from the business community, large and small. 45 And [T]he Chamber has produced a set of specific recommended proposals in the tax- debt management and program spending areas ... They all are couched, in very important terms with respect to fiscal conditions permitting. ... The underlying theme of this principle, upon which our proposals are built, is a continued affirmation of the very hard work of all Canadians, in the past several years, to move the country away from deficit financing at the federal level. This achievement is now much too important to abandon, and the members of the Chamber urge the government to avoid a return to deficit financing. We believe this can be accomplished as we set priorities for the country and keep a focus on overall Canadian prosperity. [Michael N. Murphy, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, 45:15:25] [Sltay the course. ... Right now the most important thing to do in our current economic environment is maintain business and consumer confidence to the maximum degree possible. All Canadians sacrificed a great deal to get rid of the deficit and indeed start paying down debt. Going back into deficit, | believe, ... would not be positive in the least to maintain confidence levels of Canadians generally and not just in the business community. [Catherine Swift, Canadian Federation of Independent Business, 45:15:50] A commitment to not run a budget deficit, as in the present course, makes debt retirement possible. In fact, the stock of federal public debt has declined by $35.8 billion ($17.1 billion in the past fiscal year alone) from its peak of $583.2 billion in 1996-1997 to $547.4 billion in 2000-2001.° This pay down of debt represents an ongoing saving of $2.5 billion each year in the form of lower interest payments to service the debt. Moreover, the federal debt-to-GDP ratio has dropped to 51.8% in 2000-2001 from its post-war peak of 70.7% in 1995-1996 (see Figure 4.2). http://www.fin.gc.ca/news01/01-078e.html 46 Figure 4.2 Federal Debt-to-GDP Ratio (Public Accounts Basis) ag Pet cent of GDP Net debt ee WG So Tm BS EE 50 Re Te SE We : Market debt 40 Es 20 S > 20 ba 105 1961- 1965. 1971- 1876. 1881 1546. 1967 1987 1972 1577 1962 1987 Source: Finance Canada, The Budget Plan 2000, February 28, 2000, p. 48. These debt-management developments have also received support from the business sector: “We are very pleased and are very supportive of the government in achieving a pay down of the debt. We indeed think that that should still remain a priority for the government going into the future” [Gordon Peeling, Mining Association of Canada, 45:17:05]. Debt reduction continues to receive favour even under the current trying circumstances. It must reinforce the plan for debt reduction by clarifying the targets and making stronger commitments to allocate funds for this purpose when surpluses are available. It must limit spending to areas of the highest public priority, particularly those that strengthen the economy and enhance Canada’s long-term international competitiveness. Of course, we do realize that security and defence must be factored into this. [Gordon Peeling, Mining Association of Canada, 45:17:05] The Committee is convinced that the government’s current fiscal course has provided more flexibility and maneuverability for dealing with unexpected shocks to the economy, such as the September 11 terrorist attacks. The Committee, therefore, recommends: 47 12. That the Government of Canada continue a fiscal strategy of developing a two-year rolling plan, backed by a contingency reserve, using conservative economic assumptions to deliver a federal budget that does not contemplate a return to a deficit. And 13. That the Government of Canada continue the practice of retiring its debt by an amount that is not less than the funds available in the contingency reserve at the end of each fiscal year. Economic Stabilization and Fiscal Policy Now that the Committee has established what it believes should be the government’s spending and taxation priorities and has further recommended that we continue on the current course of fiscal balance and debt reduction over the next two years, we must address the issue of fiscal actions to be taken should plans go awry. One example would be if the underlying economic assumptions of the budget plan do not materialize or, more succinctly, if our economic fundamentals weaken further than expected. A second example would be if we experience additional external shocks, such as that of September 11, which would require greater-than-anticipated national security spending. In these circumstances, we can take one of three alternative routes: (1) ratchet up government spending to counteract depressed private spending; (2) continue as planned and ride out the economic downturn; or (3) take immediate corrective action by cutting back on budgeted expenditures of low-priority items to stay the course. Some business advocates argued that additional fiscal stimulus to that which is already planned would be excessive or would risk the credibility of the Finance Minister's plan, which could possibly further weaken consumer and investor confidence. In recent weeks we’ve heard a few scattered calls for massive fiscal stimulus as well. At best, we believe this would be counter-productive; at worst, it would [be] disastrous. First, consumers are benefiting already from the major tax cuts announced by Finance Minister Paul Martin last year. Second, American experience with tax rebates suggests that in the current environment most would be saved rather than spent. Third, the new security-related expenditures the government must make will, in themselves, have an overall stimulative effect. [Thomas d’Aquino, Business Council on National Issues, 47:10:40] Many industry representatives believe that the current monetary policy in Canada and the United States, along with planned U.S. tax cuts and accelerated government spending, are stimulus enough at this time. On the fiscal front, tax stimulus introduced early this year at the federal and provincial level will continue to work through the economy. Increased government spending for security and defence is pending. South of the border fiscal stimulus coming from the increase in U.S. government spending will also play a role in spurring economic growth, including here in Canada. Thus the stage is set for the 48 Start of an economic recovery in Canada, possibly as early as the spring or summer of next year, to Start. Our expectation, therefore, is for growth in 2002 to average approximately 1.5%, virtually identical to the growth rate expected for our current year. IE would be ill-timed to add to these monetary and fiscal initiatives ... a direct government stimulus package. Such potentially large government spending initiatives are not needed at this time, and indeed could be counter productive. [Michael N. Murphy, Canadian Chamber of Commerce, 45:15:25] The Committee agrees and recommends: 14. That the Government of Canada impose spending limits and, if necessary, cutback on low-priority spending in the budget plan should economic fundamentals weaken beyond expectations, or should additional external shocks require greater-than-anticipated national security spending, and begin to threaten the desired fiscal balance. 49 Lg GATE ET Spale dt na eo ee ee aliernative À | © (VA: RENE daté spending: (Es | x = brig wh CM tithe Pranadicts cortectie arene: 4 0 62 01 dde Spot ln to Bay the court” ‘ » = 4 a pe q DC] © Le F2 ‘ Le = ‘seal sum 15 Le Mai ; & M À LE Pm 4 CLTA Ode, “ya Cetinity of the Finghoé | ‘Ss af Fa an, » LINE AA ur are vapor comiianes. ; - on LA WW 2 foe Cote’ cpés Or masse fiscal Strat a | r ; 4 fie “$e (PAR VO, ci won, À Wide wel {hes £ 2 Oe gave Ve oF tt mari Loin. ihe raior AN" Ouse _— a @ LE" CR et pr ont Anereait codec La re Lo VOR + P& <9 dir éminent ds! tetuiid be ‘saved . ~_ me LU 1 Saas enr es MS Overninell TUE wr Re i= ©! ew) ét: a) STTECT.. [horde cf Aguile. F ; = 7 hy ae. eT 14 aa . AT Ve ees Co he current monetary policy in Canade, © oy +O wrt Sev ( A me 2a Ws tax culs ‘and accelerated Joventiont we 2 à PRE à ‘ 7 aa ; "+. VO ent : Ï l LP TL | [a res ve =* fet Wine dé = VUE ya eR Wie Fesee’ One “Oi =p 4 Ming. ls Oa Puta tie eoorctay Meera Jar REVENU anal) ANS tele & gere Sey he Lone Keon wr Nigum | Dern Cease 9. LL - but TY Gray wT ep ler s+ Gem PES OP ea, ice ro A rae de axons Le pat eae) is 1. CHAPTER 5: THE INNOVATION AGENDA The Government of Canada’s innovation Agenda One of the government’s highest priorities over the past seven years has been the promotion of the transition to an innovation and knowledge-based economy. The last two throne speeches in particular have highlighted the government’s so-called “innovation agenda.” Prime Minister Chrétien, in his response to the 2001 Speech from the Throne, outlined the government’s plans to make Canada one of the most innovative economies in the world. The government has stressed that a major element in achieving this goal is to ensure that Canada’s research and development (R&D) effort per capita is amongst the top five countries in the world (Canada is currently in 15th place on OECD scales which measure expenditure on R&D as a percentage of GD): The government's innovation plan, as described in the government's response to the Speech from the Throne, has five parts: 1. At least double the current federal investment in R&D by the year 2010. Increased investments will be made in the Granting Councils, Genome Canada, the Canadian Institutes of Health Research, and government laboratories and institutions; 2. Work with the university community to assist universities in securing the resources necessary to fully benefit from federally sponsored research activities; 3. Accelerate Canada’s ability to commercialize research discoveries, and to turn them Into new products and services, 4. Pursue a global strategy for Canadian science and technology, supporting more collaborative international research; and 51 | would strongly encourage the government to proceed with a forward-looking strategic agenda that continues to be centred on innovation and skills. The priorities and the timing of this agenda, however, must be shaped to the times ... [Thomas d’Aquino, Business Council on National Issues, 47:10:45] [W]ith respect to funding ... the government can actually save money by ... doing it on a project by project basis, particularly in the North where you could use medical services on-line for diagnostic purposes and you can actually cut costs . on health delivery ... over broadband communications system. ... [Linda Oliver, Information Technology Association of Canada, 47:12:00] 5. Work with the private sector to determine the best ways to make broadband Internet access available to all communities in Canada by the year 2004. Along with the emphasis on innovation, the government also stressed that the success of the “new economy” depends greatly on human talent. As such, the government also indicated that it would place increased resources into ensuring that Canadians have the training and learning tools necessary to prosper in, and contribute to, a knowledge-based economy. Realizing the Innovation Agenda The Committee has been at the forefront of promoting an innovation agenda. It has released several reports since 1997 on issues related to R&D funding, innovation and productivity, and made specific recommendations to the government on how the transition to an innovation and knowledge-based economy can best be achieved. The government has placed a great deal of resources into ensuring that its innovation agenda produces tangible results. For example, in October 2000, the arm’s-length National Broadband Task Force was established to advise the government on how to best make high-speed, broadband Internet services available to businesses and residents in all Canadian communities by the year 2004.* The Task Force delivered its final report, The New National Dream: Networking the Nation for Broadband Access, to the Minister of Industry, Brian Tobin, in June 2001. In its report, the Task Force emphasized that high-speed broadband will provide the foundation for improved services such as distance learning and tele-health and will give small businesses access to broader markets. The report stresses that all Canadians should have equitable and affordable access to broadband services, and that the government’s focus should be on communities where the private sector is unlikely to deliver these services. It also noted that First Nation, Inuit, rural, and remote communities should be a priority along with public institutions (learning institutions, libraries, health care centres, and public access points). The federal government considers that the provision of broadband Internet capacity is an urgent and high priority for the innovation economy. The provinces and territories share this opinion. Federal, provincial and territorial ministers responsible for research, science and technology met on September 21, 2001 to discuss principles of action to speed up the transition to an innovation and knowledge-based economy: [W]e had a unanimous declaration ... [from] every government of Canada — every province, of every political — stripe saying: high-speed Internet access is one of the defining characteristics and part of the necessary infrastructure of a modern competitive economy. [The Honourable Brian Tobin, Minister of Industry, 44:9:20] The Task Force defined high-speed broadband as a high capacity, two-way link between end-user and access network suppliers capable of supporting full motion interactive video applications. 52 te me ohne government is working with provincial and territorial governments to € the objective of making Canada one of the most innovative countries in the world. The government has also stressed the importance of the participation of the private Sector in achieving this goal. Costs of the Components of the Innovation Agenda The national vision and strategy for, and cost of, realizing the innovation agenda is to be detailed in a white paper that is expected to be tabled later this year or early next year. Estimates of costs for implementing the various components of the agenda vary. According to Statistics Canada, the federal government invested $3.71 billion in science and technology R&D activities (for both intramural performance and extramural funding of R&D) in fiscal year 1999-2000. Given that the government has pledged to double current federal investment in R&D by the year 2010, the final investment would be in the range of $7 billion per year. In terms of the broadband component, the National Broadband Task Force estimated the cost of providing broadband services to communities without such access at between $1.3 and $1.9 billion. The Task Force estimated that a more ambitious plan would cost approximately $4.5 billion. The Task Force suggests that these costs would be shared with other stakeholders. Impact of the Events of September 17 The events of September 11 have changed the short-term priorities of the government. The government is now preoccupied with improving security measures at ports of entry and introducing other counter-terrorism measures. Implementing these measures will be expensive. The government has also made investments in other areas, such as the airline and tourism industries, that were directly affected by the events of September 11. Increased security measures at the Canada-U.S. border have, unfortunately, impeded the flow of commercial and passenger traffic between the two countries. These delays are having negative consequences on Canadian industries. Maintaining a safe border while ensuring the free flow of goods and people across the border has become the government's main priority: j ‘ be everybody's first priority, to Securing access to Canada’s market has got to be bc ADR inane ca engine of Canada going, IS our first priority. [The Honourable Brian Tobin, Minister of Industry, 44:9:40] ging short-term priorities will likely have impacts on t programs, and the government must choose which tnesses appearing at this series of hearings stressed The government's chan spending for other government pri programs are the most important. Wi 53 that the government should not go back into deficit in order to fund all of its proposed initiatives. However, at the same time, witnesses suggested that the government should not abandon its long-term policies and initiatives. In particular, many witnesses stressed that the government’s plans for an innovation agenda should not be discarded, but that the timing and exact priorities for this agenda may need to be altered to reflect the new fiscal reality: [VJery important to keep our eye on the longer term issues, the longer term priorities of innovation and competitiveness, in fact, | would argue these are priorities that are more important than ever before. Not just research and development and skills and tax reform and regulatory reform, but also encouraging companies now to manage their businesses in a much more innovative way is going to be extremely important simply to survive the next few months let alone to prosper in the future ... [Jayson Myers, Manufacturers and Exporters of Canada, 45:15:40] For the broadband initiative in particular, witnesses pointed out that the “roll-out” plan, and thus the cost, could be spread out over a number of years: I’m not quite sure how the broadband task force had proposed to roll it out, but | know that it can be rolled out regionally ... it doesn't all have to be done in the same year ... Our suggestion is to look at the north first, because it’s an obvious winner, in terms of government and spending priorities and achieving some objectives for delivery of medical services ... So our recommendation would be to take it in bite-sized pieces, to start, to accomplish something each year, and to live up to the commitment that the government has made. [Lynda Oliver, Information Technology Association of Canada, 47:12:10] Although witnesses expressed support for the principle of maintaining an innovation agenda, some witnesses questioned whether the federal government should be investing in the expansion of broadband access to all parts of Canada: [T]his is an example of the question we asked our members ... should governments pay for expansion of high speed Internet capacity?... almost three-quarters of our members are not in favour of that particular initiative. [Catherine Swift, Canadian Federation of Independent Business, 45:15:50] The Committee is very supportive of the overall federal innovation agenda, but understands that the costs and timing of the initiative may not be immune to the impact of shifting priorities towards Canada’s increased security needs. In terms of the broadband component, the Committee recognizes that given the events of September 11, the goal of making high-speed broadband Internet services available to all Canadians by 2004 will be challenging. However, the Committee feels that every reasonable effort should be made to achieve this objective with a minimum of compromise. The Committee therefore recommends: 54 15. That the Government of Canada work with the private sector and community leaders to provide broadband services to areas of the couniry that do not currently have broadband access on a region-by-region basis. Regions to be connected first should be those areas in which it is unlikely that the private sector, on its own, will provide broadband services. In this manner, northern and rural areas will not be disadvantaged any further. The Committee urges the government to consider the recommendations made in the Committee’s fifth report, A Canadian Innovation Agenda for the Twenty-First Century, to increase funding to certain areas of the country’s innovation framework that are in immediate need of funds. This injection of funds would serve as an economic stimulus. As such, the Committee recommends: 16. That the Government of Canada consider increasing appropriations to certain government departments, agencies and programs (the Industrial Research Assistance Program, the Technology Partnerships Canada program, the National Research Council of Canada and the Canadian Space Agency), as described in the Committee’s fifth report. 55 , | = © D > à 1 © Cort Fi n , ? ¢ = is Neth?! e > ip vy 1 : 7 comen li. dns dre ae Whew Mes det” dr. : a T2 ve PTS 7 Aelia die gi isa Le où ral À PAPE Lars rene i du GA nr à ci bee a = PUR Ne os La LÉ A es is Le été Et vies (re M on as a - de Lea teinte foéhiiony aa ao ‘ ratés CLR 2 Hétu | Zz ae © | QE ag Le Pet ar Preis : Pr ON out | | nier 7 mil mmovation agi Det te ” Wraune-ty the imyact'Ol arms of the hroadband > ©" Frmenher 4 tothe goal of ~ de MGanadaris Vos 2004 wi Der | à Se short SNoU' bé: mide \ (Ta Ps « The Committee theron Sees te à The terrorist attacks on New York City and Washington, D.C., and the foiled attack that led tothe downed plane outside Pittsburgh on September 11 were not only devastating to those who lost their lives, family and loved ones. They were a tragedy for all who believe in a free, democratic and civil society. Their destructive force extended beyond their impact sites, shaking consumer and investor confidence throughout North America and, in turn, propelling an already weak economy further downward. Structural problems in the airline sector and long-time underresourced Canada-U.S. border crossings that had been ignored became immediately exposed. The government needs to make national security and border trade its prime focus and its first priority in the upcoming budget. Clearly, a more strategic approach to national security must be adopted. Such an approach involves’ more cooperation within North America; it also involves significant investments in more advanced technologies and infrastructure for customs and immigration control. There will be a hefty price tag associated with these long-term responses, but national security objectives can be met without sacrificing the government's planned tax cuts over the next five years or the “innovation agenda” to be rolled out over the next decade. The sound fiscal policy course set by the Government of Canada over the past several years, along with credible and well-timed monetary policy, has left Canada’s financial books in good shape and resilient enough to weather the terrorist shock. The Committee’s recommendations, we believe, offer timely counsel to the Government of Canada and its agencies on how to effectively respond to the post-September 11 security-conscious environment in a way that minimizes any further adverse impacts on the Canadian economy. These 57 In times of crisis and confu- sion, unit of purpose and clarity of message are essential. Canada’s efforts must proceed vigorously and visibly, because even the perception that the border might become a more serious barrier will begin influencing business decisions now, decisions about which plants to close, decisions about where new plants will be built. Whatever else we do to improve the business environment in Canada will be undone if we ever allow the 49th parallel to be seen as an impediment to trade and investment over time. [Thomas d’Aquino, Business Council on National Issues, 47:10:45] | think we just have to move forward — business as usual, both in our business and our personal lives. ... [GJovernments at any level, ... they too should move forward— Plan for the best and prepare for the worst. But standing still should not be an option. [Garth Whyte, Canadian Federation of Independent Business, 46:16:05] recommendations also advise the government to take bold action in resolving perennial problems of Canada-U.S. border crossings, suggesting a number of critical investments to be made in access infrastructure and highways, and state-of-the-art customs and immigration control equipment, the hiring of new personnel, and the adoption of modern and more strategic customs and immigration procedures. Greater Canada-U.S. cooperation on all of these fronts is also seen as vital to our success in providing national security, as well as economic security, to Canadians in these security- conscious times. The Government of Canada must work to eliminate any real or perceived border problems in order that Canada continues to be one of the world’s safest countries to invest in, to trade with and to visit. Canada needs to ensure that the flow of goods and people across the Canada-U.S. border is not impeded by the adoption of new security measures. The recommendations detailed in this report are intended to make the border more secure and more trade efficient than ever. 58 APPENDIX A LIST OF WITNESSES AND BRIEFS Associations and Individuals Date Meeting Air Transport Association of Canada J. Clifford Mackay, President and Chief Executive Officer Warren Everson, Vice-President Aluminium Association of Canada Chris Van Houtte, President Association of Canadian Travel Agents Randall Williams, President and Chief Executive Officer Association of International Automobile Manufacturers of Canada Robert Armstrong, President Stephen Beatty, Vice-President, Corporate Affairs, Toyota Canada Inc. Art Thomas, Senior Manager, Corporate Affairs, Honda Canada Inc. Automotive Parts Manufacturer’s Association Gerald Fedchun, President Business Council on National Issues Thomas d'Aquino, President and Chief Executive Officer Sam Boutziouvis, Vice-President, International Trade and Global Economics David Stewart-Patterson, Senior Vice-President, Policy and Communications Canadian Chamber of Commerce (The) Robert Keyes, Senior Vice-President, International Division Michael Murphy, Senior Vice-President, Policy 59 01/11/2001 31/10/2001 31/10/2001 30/10/2001 30/10/2001 01/11/2001 30/10/30 47 46 46 44 dé 47 45 Associations and Individuals Canadian Construction Association Michael Atkinson, President Jeff Morrison, Director of Communications Canadian Federation of Agriculture Robert Friesen, President Brigitte Rivard, Executive Director Jennifer Fellows, Farm Policy Analyst Canadian Federation of Independent Business Catherine Swift, President & Chief Executive Officer Garth Whyte, Senior Vice-President, National Affairs Canadian Film and Television Production Association Elizabeth McDonald, President and Chief Executive Officer Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters Jayson Myers, Senior Vice-President and Chief Economist Canadian Restaurant and Food Services Association Joyce Reynolds, Senior Director, Government Affairs Canadian Steel Producers’ Association Barry Lacombe, President Donald Belch, Director, Government Relations Canadian Trucking Alliance Ron Lennox, Vice-President, Regulatory Affairs David Bradley, Chief Executive Officer 60 Date Meeting 31/10/2001 46 01/112001 47 30/10/2001 45 01/11/2001 47 30/10/2001 45 31/10/2001 46 30/10/2001 45 01/11/2001 47 Associations and Individuals Date Meeting Canadian Vehi , iat ehicle Manufacturers’ Association 30/10/2001 44 Mark Nantais, President Doug Jure, Special Advisor, Daimler-Chrysler Canada Michael Sheridan, Manager, Government Relations, Ford Motors of Canada Ltd *Celeris Aerospace Canada Inc. Steve Hall, President Customs Excise Union 06/11/2001 49 Serge Charette, National President Detroit Regional Chamber of Commerce 01/11/2001 47 Daniel Cherrin, Director of Public Policy Detroit Windsor Tunnel Corporation 01/11/2001 47 Gordon Jarvis, Director Hotel Association of Canada 31/10/2001 46 Anthony P. Pollard, President Industry Canada 30/10/2001 44 The Honourable Brian Tobin, Minister of Industry Andrei Sulzenko, Senior Assistant Deputy Minister, Policy Sector Information Technology Association of Canada 01/112001 AT Pierre Boucher, Vice-President, Customer Advocacy Entrust Linda Oliver, Executive Director, Government Relations * Did not appear/brief only 61 Associations and Individuals Date Meeting Mining Association of Canada Gordon Peeling, President and Chief Executive Officer Dan Paszkowski, Vice-President, Economic Affairs Railway Association of Canada Bill Rowat, President Bill Fox, Senior Vice-President, Public Affairs, Canadian National Railway Dennis Apedaile, Senior Advisor, Government Affairs, Canadian Pacific Railways Paul Côté, Chief Operating Officer, Via Rail Canada Retail Council of Canada Peter Woolford, Senior Vice-President, Policy Tourism Industry Association of Canada Gerry Macies, Director 62 30/10/2001 01/11/2001 06/11/2001 31/10/2001 45 47 49 46 REQUEST FOR GOVERNMENT RESPONSE Pursuant to Standing Order 109, the Committee requests that the government table a comprehensive response to this report within one hundred and fifty (150) days. À copy of the relevant Minutes of Proceedings of the Standing Committee on Industry, Science and Technology (Meetings Nos. 44, 45, 46, 47, 49, 52 and 53 which includes this report) is tabled. Respectfully submitted, Susan Whelan, M.P. Essex Chair 63 » = au: | ue | - | ; à = : ad A ' * == £56 = 4 ee = HUE Canadian Alliance Dissenting Report November 23, 2001 Introduction The Canadian Alliance was deeply disturbed by the horrific acts of terrorism against the United States witnessed by the world on September 11, 2001. We recognize how profoundly the U.S. has been affected by these tragedies, and that as a result Canadians have been drawn closer to our southern neighbours. Furthermore, although North America was experiencing the beginnings of an economic slow-down prior to September 11, national priorities have changed significantly as security matters have become so much more important. The Standing Committee on Industry Science & Technology's report on the Economic Impact of the September 11 terrorist attacks in the United States provides a good overview of the situation facing Canadian industry. However, the Official Opposition believes that testimony provided by the witnesses regarding U.S. security concerns and the implementation of the Liberal Innovation Agenda was not accurately reflected in the report. The Canada-U.S. Border The Canadian Alliance welcomes the report's recommendations for high-level negotiations on the border issue and for post-September 11 security plans to be outlined in the upcoming federal budget. However, we feel that the report does not capture the importance of addressing U.S. security concerns, which was stressed by witness after witness. "| think the clear issue here is that the U.S. isn't much interested in talking about the economic impacts of September 11. They're interested in talking about the security impacts of September 11." | - Stephen Beatty (Vice President, Corporate Affairs, Toyota Canada Inc, Association of International Manufacturers of Canada) "Our attention needs to be focused on ensuring security and providing the U.S. with confidence in Canadian actions while at the same time ensuring that U.S. action to address the consequences of September 11 do not result in border delays potentially ; anadian investment and jobs in Canada. ¥ eh or Barry Lacombe (President, Canadian Steel Producers Association) The Committee report appears to suggest that although the border was a big ieee: during the early post-September 11 period, it has since te to er ps recommendations to build more infrastructure such as me bri oa ee ea ee hire more customs officials fail to understand the overriding theme o y: 65 U.S. security concerns must be addressed and in a proactive manner. The failure of the U.S. to reinitiate the CANPASS system more than two months after the terrorist attacks is testament to American unease regarding facilitating access through its northern border. "The immediate reaction from Canadian officials was that the situation [at the border] would return to normal very quickly. What is even more surprising is that some still believe that this is the case." Serge Charette (National President, Customs Excise Union) This is not a time to be complacent and witnesses before the committee were clear that leadership from the federal government is required for this issue to move forward. In fact, the upcoming negotiations on the Canada-U.S. border may be an opportunity to build on NAFTA and make further advancements on continental co-operation. The Canadian Alliance, however, is concerned that the Liberal anti-American tradition and misguided fears of losing sovereignty will send mixed signals to our southern neighbour to the detriment of the Canadian economy. "The real loss of sovereignty, in our view, will come from having the U.S. decide unilaterally what the border should look like." David Bradley (Chief Executive Officer, Canadian Trucking Alliance) Recommendation One: The Canadian Alliance recommends that the federal government take a leadership role and embrace this opportunity to create cross-border cooperation that will satisfy the security and economic concerns of both countries. Reality Check: The Innovation and Security in Perspective. The Official Opposition is concerned about the Minister of Industry’s approach to the so-called innovation agenda, and in particular the broadband strategy. The only witnesses who expressly supported an immediate post-September 11 implementation of the recommendations of the National Broadband Taskforce were the Minister of Industry and Ms. Linda Oliver representing the Information Technology Association of Canada. However, many other witnesses testified that since the events of September 11, the priorities for government spending have changed, partially due to the new security requirements and the fact that North America is facing an economic slowdown. Allocating billions of dollars simply to increase the speed of Internet connections in Canada should not be a priority at this time. 66 | eae rie encourage the government to proceed with a forward looking strategic agenda that continues to be centred on innovation and skills. The priorities and timing of this agenda, however, must be shaped to the times. This is not a time for massive new spending programs.” Thomas d’Aquino (President and CEO, Business Council on National Issues) The Canadian Alliance also believes that the Minister's entire innovation agenda should be brought to the Standing Committee on Industry, Science & Technology in draft form. The Committee heard a number of witnesses who indicated that while they were encouraged by the concept of an innovation agenda, they would approach its method of delivery differently. ‘In terms of the so-called innovation productivity initiatives that have been mentioned already, our members also feel, naturally, one cannot abandon this or neglect it as we go forward but we have proposed for some time now, and we're reiterating today, a number of low-cost initiatives that we can work on to achieve it. It seems whenever we hear about some of these innovation programs they have fairly hefty price tags attached to them." Catherine Swift (President and CEO of the Canadian Federation of Independent Business Therefore, the Canadian alliance has two more recommendations specific to the Liberal Innovation Agenda: Recommendation Two: That the broadband strategy be delayed and reworked to more accurately reflect the priorities of Canadians. Recommendation Three: That the Minister of Industry immediately present the Standing Committee on Industry, Science & Technology a draft of the so-called Innovation Agenda. The Standing Committee on Industry, Science & Technology Canadian Alliance Members Charlie Penson, Industry Critic 5 James Rajotte, Deputy Industry Critic 67 jen EX & olveré Breas nolsvor D DER T4 ‘sth fat met Hetty ré eslonasT & gMsioe snieubn Raw yeah jai: à Sef Ssteabei, : otha ese re si a OF to cored) ethvfisemiage Blunt ihyebneps: nee iyo. 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We also wish to add here remarks underlining the necessity for the federal government to Invest to revitalize the economy, while taking Quebec's prerogatives into account. Recommendation 11. — Confirmation of the five-year tax reduction program The Bloc Québécois believes that a balanced budgetary approach must allow for tax reductions, and these reductions must be targeted. But the federal Finance Minister’s tax reduction program does not correspond to this requirement. The Bloc Québécois would have liked the Committee to urge the Finance Minister to acknowledge the harmful effects of the decisions he has made so far on reduction of the personal income tax burden. Let us recall that the Minister ordered cuts in income and other taxes that targeted very high income earners in particular. As a result of Mr Martins two most recent budgets, Canadians with incomes of more than $250,000 have enjoyed over $9,000 in income tax reductions, while families with incomes in the neighbourhood of $40,000 have seen their income tax go down by scarcely $300. The large surpluses that have been built up in recent years could have been used to give immediate relief to families with incomes of $40,000 and less, particularly single-parent families with two dependent children. Such families should have been exempt from the obligation to pay a single penny of income tax to the federal government, if the federal government had allowed itself to be guided by a concern for ensuring a certain balance in society rather than by a desire to hand out tax cuts that were primarily a gift for the highest income earners. Recommendation 12. — Contingency reserve Sbécoi lutely necessary but In the view of the Bloc Québécois, budgetary prudence Is abso transparency is even more necessary. But the trend that the budget process in Ottawa has perversely taken has been to transform transparency into a tool for camouflage for the government rather than for information for the people on the state of the federal public finances. t has accumulated budget surpluses worth on the should have been delighted to see the government s, we had instead reason for Since 1996, the federal governmen order of $35 billion. While everyone ave committed to sound management of public finance 69 concern, as we watched the federal government demonstrate its chronic, even deliberate, inability to present realistic and credible budget estimates. For almost 20 years, successive governments in Ottawa have exaggerated the extent of their anticipated deficits, by inflated them artificially, or underestimated the size of their surpluses as the present government is doing. The present government has thus deliberately excluded from any public debate almost $60 billion of manoeuvring room that the Bloc Québécois, even though we have fewer means at our disposal, has been able to estimate much more accurately. This situation has also helped to accentuate dramatically the current fiscal imbalance with the provinces. While blurring the true portrait of Canada’s public finances in this way, the federal government has also withdrawn substantial financial resources that could otherwise have been allocated to priorities identified by the people, notably through transfer payments for health and education. In this era of surpluses, and because its accounting rules oblige it to do so after a certain time, the federal government must allocate all of its “unforeseen” surpluses to paying down the national debt, which is simply one priority among others. It is thus vital that the budget process be made more transparent. Prudent management is of course required, with a view to a healthy and balanced budget, but prudence must not be exercised at the expense of the quality of information provided to the people, particularly if that prudence is based on deliberate blindness to reality. It is important to note that we are not opposed to a contingency reserve, but we believe in a budget process that would for example provide for the analysis of revenue and expenditure growth hypotheses by an independent committee. Recommendation 16. — Funding for certain innovative sectors The Bloc Québécois recognizes the importance of innovation. In its platform for the election of November 27, 2000, the Bloc placed great emphasis on the sector commonly known as the “new economy” — in other words, an economic order built around development and the use of new technologies, especially the so-called information technologies. This new economic order is one in which education and training, technological innovation and research and development are increasingly coming to occupy a dominant position. Many people would agree that economic prosperity will from now on be closely linked to the development of the new economy. However, we believe that federal investment in the sectors of science, innovation and research and development must respect the needs and priorities defined by the provinces, and by Quebec in particular. We therefore want to see funding transfers in these sectors that respect the innovation framework chosen by Quebeckers. Lastly, we consider that federal investment in innovation must reflect Quebec's demographic weight, contrary to the usual situation in which Quebec is clearly disadvantaged. Federal investment in research and development, on in fixed assets and stocks is a case in point: in 1998, for fixes assets and stocks, for example, Quebec 70 received only 17.7% of all federal investment, while it i Canadian population. ile it is home to almost 25% of the Recommendation 1. — Bilateral ministerial Summit on immigration Quebeckers consider that control of immigration is an essential tool to Quebec’s development and prosperity. We therefore feel that the Quebec government would not be contented to watch from the sidelines, and that it must be invited to participate actively in the negotiations with the United States about immigration procedures. Assistance for industries affected by the tragic events of September 11 The Bloc Québécois would have liked the Committee to display more openness to possible federal government assistance for the sectors that were especially hard hit by the tragic events of September 11. Travel agencies and airlines, which are closely intertwined, have asked for help from Ottawa. The economic stabilization plan proposed by the Bloc Québécois in October included, among other provisions, a series of proposals aimed at supporting the airline industry and employment in sectors hit by the general uncertainty and gloom. It is our contention, however, that businesses should be compensated for problems linked to the event of September 11 and not for pre-existing management or structural problems. Consequently, companies that would like to benefit from federal government support should be prepared to have the latter examine their financial statements and organizational structure. We further believe that assistance must be provided uniformly to all the members of the same industry that request it, and that this assistance, in the case of airlines, must take the form of loan guarantees rather than direct cash transfers. The Bloc’s stabilization plan is both balanced and responsible. It takes into account the federal budget surpluses and the need to oxygenate and stimulate the economy. In this dissenting opinion, the Bloc Quebécois is speaking for a consensus of Quebeckers, who are in favour of transparent budget planning, respect for Quebec's areas of jurisdiction, and vigorous government intervention to revitalize the economy. Stéphane Bergeron MP for Verchères—Les Patriotes and A Bloc Québécois Industry, Science and Technology Critic 71 = i | ns RTE A ee ü se pau a es 7 9. Q bali sd teur Th Yer Le 34 : eybosote r — nié a bal CS 1 6 at vimaiqe eh v3 aoe seh of Gagnnenw ‘a4 nh vétqir ar Soniye agile BH aie 36. MEN, detre too" hate VisaGlr aoe Toit "Sade hs as) een beesdma netgear Gti.) cals | lo esug2e 6 angle foie] DOF: AE Le 390$ ia iH. arr ve, Th AIRE Ae rene ne UE SV) ten) re FA ys: ci + © à ve dr HN Set egrets ae port PACE CITE jé leibisurie m0 PIOUE PEN mA ey aig ath ‘Ghat F WStinrneine Aion ve (nrg hel row hisned of PANDA bre eine: yt PR eee poe “Sinsimerdiotsinenit tise BAPE aettet ot ead al baisse ed bluotes Nog ed viemulinu bablvong serum sonsréleer tet avetadredhul SW online ssinego | sh ejnblekees airt! eT ts ag, jeun test Witeubni, f lo ziedmerni 2 ls a ‘Salehon th Mes: Se HD EM] . JE ‘220 B we sre Chu ii ii Legnihis ati a” Sait the! CET geo ae 8 * more ori T Sinan ae Sey ie ea TAE TION VE a Sh baiaae 1 ae oe Wt HQE pring Mein re wo we Hi x = iMac + [one Server oi os ili ie we gi À È Dent nn a case Me 1 oe a 7 ee” ‘ LE, p19) . etree = fa « - = ‘vid © Chere, sp aienue Lp ant 2 Se je Progressive Conservative Democratic Representative Coalition Dissenting Opinion The Majority Report is a good overview of the general economic impact felt by Canadian industry as a result of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States. Some of its recommendations, especially for high-level bilateral meetings between the US. and Canada, are easily supported and long overdue. Other items, including scaling back the Minister of Industry’s broadband expansion plans are simply a reflection of the new budgetary reality. This advice, however, seems to contradict other recommendations that would increase appropriations, something we feel is unacceptable at this time. In addition, some of the other recommendations are too unspecific to force the government to act in the best interests of the Canadian economy. As a consequence, the PC-DR Coalition is submitting this minority report. Some of the greatest fears in the business community today rest on the worry that stricter border rules will slow economic movement to unprofitable levels. If Canada does not have a clear plan to strengthen border reliability for trade and transport, the United States will impose a "Made in America" system of border control. The Canadian way is to take initiatives, to make proposals, and persuade the superpower next door. The government must not sit on its hands and risk hurting the sovereignty and economic viability of Canada. Public Protection and Border Management Initiative Therefore, the PC-DR Coalition developed a specific plan, and while it’s open for discussion, it contains three detailed ideas that would protect the lives and property of Canadians, ensure the efficient and secure movement of goods and people into and out of Canada and protect the rights of Canadians. We submit it to the government for its response and implementation: 1. Creation of a new Ministry to be called the Ministry of Public Protection and Border Management, which will take responsibility for the following agencies: e Customs Agency e Immigration (Border Inspection Officers) e CSIS e RCMP e Coast Guard e Are-established Ports Police Communication Security Establishment (Counter-Terrorist Section) 73 Office of Critical Infrastructure Protection and Emergency Preparedness The Mandate of the Ministry will be: To protect the lives and property of Canadian citizens; Prevent the entry of inadmissible individuals and goods into Canada; Ensure the free and efficient flow of legitimate travellers and goods into and out of Canada; Enforce the laws of Canada; and Co-operate with foreign agencies to detect and prevent terrorist activities and apprehend foreign and domestic terrorists. 2. Creation of a bi-national (or tri-national) border management agency. Staffed jointly by representatives of the Ministry of Public Protection and Border Management, their American (and Mexican) counterparts, the agency would monitor the entry of goods and people into and out of the North American continent and across the Canada-US (and US-Mexico) border(s). The agency would maintain a computer system that would monitor the arrival and departure of individuals and goods to and from the continent and across the Canada-US (and US-Mexico) border(s). Low-risk individuals who wish to participate in an automated pre-clearance program will be issued with an interactive identification card that can be utilized at any airport, seaport or land crossing on the continent, that would expedite their travel with minimal delay. Low-risk companies that wish to participate in an automated pre-clearance program will be permitted to utilize standardized Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) technology to ensure that these goods are expedited with minimal delay. Through the use of mutually agreed standards and the secondment of personnel to their sister agencies, ensure that the most intense scrutiny of goods occurs as they enter the continent and avoid duplication of effort when goods transit land border crossings. Where practicable, the agency would provide pre-clearance of airline passengers overseas. Working with the appropriate federal, provincial and state officials, the agency would ensure that there is appropriate infrastructure at airports, seaports and land crossings, to separate low-risk, pre-cleared individuals and goods, from those that are not. 74 3. Creation of new Parliamentary Oversight Committee To ensure that the rights of Canadians are protected, oversight of this new ministry and the new anti-terrorist measures contained in Bill C-36 would be provided by a new parliamentary committee. All members of this committee would either be sworn into the Privy Council or ra 2 additional oath of secrecy, that would give them access to classified material. Members of this committee would not be allowed to discuss classified material outside the committee, even with their caucus colleagues. During in camera meetings, Ministers and representatives of Ministerial agencies would be required to answer almost all questions from committee members. Exceptions would include source identification and third party information. Committee would also have power to review agency budgets in detail. Committee would provide non-classified reports to the House. These recommendations, while not cast in stone, are the specific and detailed measures the government should introduce to protect Canada’s border and ensure the efficient passage of goods and services between Canada and the United States. At a time when Canadians are waiting for us to act in their best interests, we need solid, clear and precise action that will protect Canadian sovereignty and improve economic performance. The PC-DR coalition’s recommendations provide a good start for that necessary action. 75 A | Un. , DE à =e 7 | bd “Pré . 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